Nfl 1st Pick Odds
NFL Draft 2021 - First Pick Betting Odds. Get the best available NFL Specials odds from all online bookmakers with Oddschecker, the home of betting value. The Bet Online Sportsbook has odds available for who will go first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft and unsurprisingly, Lawrence is the favorite. However, there are certainly some interesting names on this list. 2021 NFL Draft first overall pick odds Trevor Lawrence, -300. Here are the top candidates to be selected No. 1 overall in the 2021 NFL Draft (as of January 18), with Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence an overwhelming favorite. This list will change as more athletes declare for the draft or opt-out, so make sure to stay current on the latest and greatest draft odds as we approach the end of April.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have locked up the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL draft, while the New York Jets have clinched the No. 2 pick. The Jets had been the favorites for the top spot since Week 5, according to the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI), but back-to-back wins in Weeks 15 and 16 means the Jaguars now get their chance at the top quarterback in the class. The rest of the top 10 is still undecided.
Each week during the season, the FPI projects the draft order by simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times. Game probabilities are based largely on the model's ratings for individual teams in addition to game locations. The order is based on the record the model believes the teams will have after 16 games, as well as each team's average draft position in the simulations.
Check out the full 1-32 projection for the 2021 NFL draft (updated on Dec. 29):
1. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-14)
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: Clinched
2. New York Jets (2-13)
FPI chance to earn No. 2 pick: Clinched
3. Atlanta Falcons (4-11)
Average draft position: 4.5
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 75.8%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
4. Miami Dolphins (10-5; from 4-11 HOU)
Average draft position: 4.7
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 62%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
5. Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-1)
Average draft position: 5.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 73.7%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
6. Philadelphia Eagles (4-10-1)
Average draft position: 6.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 40.6%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
7. Detroit Lions (5-10)
Average draft position: 7.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 28.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 84.3%
8. Carolina Panthers (5-10)
Average draft position: 8.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 9.2%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 77%
9. Denver Broncos (5-10)
Average draft position: 10.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 0.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 53.6%
10. Los Angeles Chargers (6-9)
Average draft position: 10.8
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 45.4%
11. New York Giants (5-10)
Average draft position: 11.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 10.1%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 49.2%
12. Dallas Cowboys (6-9)
Average draft position: 12.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 52.2%
13. Minnesota Vikings (6-9)
Average draft position: 13.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 1.4%
14. San Francisco 49ers (6-9)
Average draft position: 13.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 0.6%
15. New England Patriots (6-8)
Average draft position: 14.8
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 0.2%
16. Las Vegas Raiders (7-8)
Average draft position: 16.3
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
17. Washington Football Team (6-9)
Average draft position: 16.4
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 36.2%
18. Arizona Cardinals (8-7)
Average draft position: 18.4
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
19. Chicago Bears (8-7)
Average draft position: 19.9
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
20. Cleveland Browns (10-5)
Average draft position: 20.6
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
21. Miami Dolphins (10-5)
Average draft position: 22.2
22. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15; from 9-6 LAR)
Average draft position: 22.3
23. Indianapolis Colts (10-5)
Average draft position: 22.8
24. Tennessee Titans (10-5)
Average draft position: 24.0
Nfl 1st Pick Odds Against
25. Baltimore Ravens (10-5)
Average draft position: 25.1
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-5)
Average draft position: 26.3
27. New York Jets (2-13; from 11-4 SEA)
Average draft position: 26.5
28. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3)
Average draft position: 27.3
29. Buffalo Bills (11-3)
Average draft position: 27.6
30. New Orleans Saints (11-4)
Average draft position: 28.0
31. Green Bay Packers (12-3)
Average draft position: 29.2
Nfl Draft 1st Pick Odds
32. Kansas City Chiefs (14-1)
Nfl First Pick Odds
Average draft position: 30.5